What We’re Doing

Welcome to our NCAA Totals betting article.  As your author, I want you to get to know me and the process I have been building.  As a degenerate gambler and an avid Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) lover, I have been working on a process to live by for NCAA Basketball totals.  I have been playing DFS for nearly a decade now, mostly for the NFL, but I will dabble in other sports as well.  Make sure to follow me on X (@trevors_FF) for my DFS takes, but today is all about the best plays in college basketball.  

The Model

Once Football season ended last year, I found myself yearning for a good product and tool to bet on something.  As I began searching and dialing in different formulas, I found one that I have settled into and has worked quite well.  Last season, between February through the end of March Madness, the model hit at a 60% clip.  Since starting it back up again this season, around mid-January, it has been hitting at a 56% clip.  I am confident enough in this model that I am ready to pass along the plays for free to our readers at Bite-Size Sports!  

Recap

Round 2 treated us very nicely with a 3-1 record and +2.5 units.  Our only came early on Sunday when Marquette and Colorado ate their wheaties and put up 158 points.  Overall the first weekend of #MarchMadness was great basketball.  If you are a favorites bettor you came out really nicely from round 2.  The favorites went 14-2 straight up and 12-4 against the spread, they really took the Madness out of March for one weekend!  

All tournament Recap:

POTD – LBSU vs Arizona – Under 163.5 ✅

POTD – Nevada vs Dayton – Over 136.5 ❌

POTD – Charleston vs Alabama – Under 173.5 ❌
POTD – Yale vs San Diego St – Over 128.5 ✅

Oregon vs South Carolina – Over 133.5 ✅

St. Peters vs Tennessee – Over 129.5 ✅

Samford vs Kansas – Under 153.5 ❌

Stetson vs UConn – Over 145.5 ❌

New Mexico vs Clemson – Under 151.5 ✅

Texas AM vs Nebraska – Over 146.5 ✅

Florida vs Colorado – Under 158.5 ❌

Dayton vs Arizona – Under 146.5  ✅

Marquette vs Colorado – Under 146.5 ❌

Grand Canyon vs Alabama – Under 168.5 ✅

Tournament to Date

POTD – 2-2 

All plays – 8-6

Year to Date

I am going to track our picks year to date from the date we started sharing an article (Feb 19th) which included Feb 18th plays as well. 

POTD – 28-14 67%

All Plays – 160 – 132 55%

Sweet 16

On to the Sweet 16! 16 teams will continue their quest to play for a National Championship.  This year we’ve got the best of the best still fighting.  With all 4 1-seeds and all 4 2-seeds there’s a possibility to have 4 games of 1 vs 2 in the Elite 8 which would be the first time ever.  Is that what you think will happen?  I am adding 4 plays from the model, one of them was very close to being a model play but it wasn’t quite there, so I am making it a ½ unit play.  I am also adding a few of my favorite plays for the weekend that are not model plays.  Happy betting and may the money be in your favor!  

Play of the day: 

Clemson vs Arizona – Under 152.5

All 1 Unit Plays:

Alabama vs UNC – Under 173.5 

NC State vs Marquette – Under 150.5 

½ Unit Play: 

Creighton vs Tennessee – Under 143.5.  If this goes up to 144.5 or higher I would place a full unit on it. 

Other plays I like for the Sweet 16: 

SDSU +11.5

UNC -4.5

Duke ML +160

Creighton ML +120 

Futures Bets:

UNC to win the region +180

Creighton to win the region +450

Tail at your own risk, and thank you for supporting Bite-Size Sports.  I hope I can do the research and provide the model plays to help you win some money!  Welcome to the ride as we get into the pinnacle of college basketball season.