What We’re Doing

Welcome to our NCAA Totals betting article.  As your author, I want you to get to know me and the process I have been building.  As a degenerate gambler and an avid Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) lover, I have been working on a process to live by for NCAA Basketball totals.  I have been playing DFS for nearly a decade now, mostly for the NFL, but I will dabble in other sports as well.  Make sure to follow me on X (@trevors_FF) for my DFS takes, but today is all about the best plays in college basketball.  

The Model

Once Football season ended last year, I found myself yearning for a good product and tool to bet on something.  As I began searching and dialing in different formulas, I found one that I have settled into and has worked quite well.  Last season, between February through the end of March Madness, the model hit at a 60% clip.  Since starting it back up again this season, around mid-January, it has been hitting at a 56% clip.  I am confident enough in this model that I am ready to pass along the plays for free to our readers at Bite-Size Sports!  

Recap

Well, the first round didn’t smash as we had hoped it would.  We had a good mix of unders and overs and nothing stood out as to why we were missing.  Samford vs Kansas and Florida vs Colorado wasn’t even a sweat as those two games blew by their total; as well as Charleston and Alabama.  Stetson and UConn needed just one more made 3-pointer and they shot and missed it with about 50 seconds on the clock, that one hurt.  We also had some good things go our way like the late technical foul in the St Peters/Tennessee game which put the Vols at the line to hit the over.  We came out -.5 unit on the round, let’s have a better second round! 

POTD – LBSU vs Arizona – Under 163.5 ✅

POTD – Nevada vs Dayton – Over 136.5 ❌

POTD – Charleston vs Alabama – Under 173.5 ❌

Oregon vs South Carolina – Over 133.5 ✅

St. Peters vs Tennessee – Over 129.5 ✅

Samford vs Kansas – Under 153.5 ❌

Stetson vs UConn – Over 145.5 ❌

New Mexico vs Clemson – Under 151.5 ✅

Texas AM vs Nebraska – Over 146.5 ✅

Florida vs Colorado – Under 158.5 ❌

Tournament to Date

POTD – 1-2 

All plays – 5-5

Year to Date

I am going to track our picks year to date from the date we started sharing an article (Feb 19th) which included Feb 18th plays as well. 

POTD – 27-14 68%

All Plays – 157 – 131 54.67%

March Madness

One round, two days, and plenty of upsets!  As always #MarchMadness does not disappoint in the First Round.  All three 11 seeds winning; Kentucky goes down again (this time to a 14-seed) and a wild finish to cap the first day for day number one.  Then day two said “Hold my beer” as we saw incredible finishes in the Colorado vs Florida and Yale vs Auburn as both lower seeds pulled off the upset! Then in the night cap we get not one but two 12 seeds beating a 5 seed.  Incredible first two days of the madness.  

Second Round Plays

As we get deeper into the tournament we will see fewer and fewer plays.  There is only one play from the model for Saturday and it’s the first game of the day.  With 3 games on Sunday we will stick to just the model this week but next weekend I might look to add some model bets into the article as well for a little fun!  I will leave you with one piece of information before getting to all the plays; if Kansas vs Gonzaga was at 152.5 instead of 151.5 it would qualify as an under play, if you were playing a teaser I’d tease it up and hit the under.  

Play of the day: 

Yale vs SDSU – Over 128.5

All 1 Unit Plays:

Dayton vs Arizona – Under 149.5

Marquette vs Colorado – Under 146.5

Grand Canyon vs Arizona – Under 168.5 

Tail at your own risk, and thank you for supporting Bite-Size Sports.  I hope I can do the research and provide the model plays to help you win some money!  Welcome to the ride as we get into the pinnacle of college basketball season.