What We’re Doing

Welcome to our NCAA Totals betting article.  As your author, I want you to get to know me and the process I have been building.  As a degenerate gambler and an avid Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) lover, I have been working on a process to live by for NCAA Basketball totals.  I have been playing DFS for nearly a decade now, mostly for the NFL, but I will also dabble in other sports.  Make sure to follow me on X (@trevors_FF) for my DFS takes, but today is all about the best plays in college basketball.  

The Model

Once Football season ended last year, I found myself yearning for a good product and tool to bet on something.  As I began searching and dialing in different formulas, I found one that I have settled into and has worked quite well.  Last season, between February through the end of March Madness, the model hit at a 60% clip.  Since starting it back up again this season, around mid-January, it has been hitting at a 56% clip.  I am confident enough in this model that I am ready to pass along the plays for free to our readers at Bite-Size Sports!  

Recap

We stayed hot on Thursday night going 10-3!  It could have been even better but Santa Clara vs Portland went into overtime and we get the hook as they hit .5 points towards the Over.  Now, while we could have won that one had they not gone into overtime we can’t complain too much.  We actually won two other games by just 1 point on Thursday!  Friday was a light day and only 3 games were played and shared via X (@trevors_FF).  They were as hot but still 24-10 over our last 34 plays!  Here are all the plays from Thursday and Friday: 

Play of the day – New Hampshire vs Albany – Under 165.5 ✅

Nebraska vs Ohio St – Under 144.5 ❌

Bryant vs UMass Lowell – Under 160.5 ✅

Stony Brook vs Drexel – Over 139.5 ✅

Northeastern vs Delaware – Under 142.5 ✅

Monmouth vs Hampton – Under 153.5 ✅

UBC vs NJIT – Under 150.5 ✅ 

Omaha vs St. Thomas – Over 142.5 ✅ 

Tenn Tech vs UT Martin – Under 152.5 ✅

Santa Clara vs Portland – Under 154.5 ❌

Tenn St vs Little Rock – Under 146.5 ✅

UMKC vs Denver – Under 153.5 ✅

UC San Diego vs CSU Bakersfield – Over 137.5 ❌

Friday Plays

James Madison vs Coastal Carolina – Under 154.5 ❌

Cornell vs Penn – Under 157.5 ❌

POTD – Bellarmine vs Austin Peay – Over 157.5 ✅

Year to Date

I am going to track our picks year to date from the date we started sharing an article (Feb 19th) which included Feb 18th plays as well. 

POTD – 12-4 75%

All Plays – 92 – 59 61%

March 2nd Plays

Each day, I will provide a Play of the Day.  This is the strongest play I find on the slate and one I am transparently laying 2 units on. Otherwise, I am laying 1U on the rest of the plays I provide here.  

The back half of the week was hot. Let’s keep riding that wave into Saturday.  Saturdays are always a large slate and a beast to prepare for.  But that’s what we are here for, to do all the hard work for you and let you reap the benefits!  There are plenty of plays, so let’s get to the list. 

11 am – 12:45cst Tipoff

Tulane vs FAU – Under 163.5

Villanova vs Providence – Over 134.5

Holy Cross vs Boston – Under 135.5

KU vs Baylor – Under 145.5

Tulsa vs Temple – Under 143.5

Monmouth vs Elon – Under 148.5

Arkansas vs Kentucky – Under 166.5 

The Arkansas vs Kentucky is the strongest play in the early slate according to the model.  However, it wasn’t strong enough to be a Play of the Day (none of the early games were).  

1 pm-2:45cst Tipoff

Play of the Day – Lindenwood vs Morehead St – Over 134.5 (13 points lower than The Model’s line)

Hampton vs William & Mary – Under 142.5

Navy vs American – Under 129.5 

W Michigan vs Ball St – Under 144.5

Toledo vs Buffalo – Under 157.5 

UTSA vs SMU – Under 159.5 

Penn St vs Minnesota – Over 151.5 

Bethune-Cookman vs Southern – Under 138.5

3 pm – 4:45cst Tipoff 

Play of the Day – South Carolina St vs Morgan St – Under 147.5 (11.5 points differential between the total and The Model’s line) 

Iowa St vs UCF – Over 133.5

NCCU vs Coppin St – Over 137.5

Le Moyne vs St Francis – Under 140.5

UNCG vs ETSU – Over 135.5

Lamar vs Northwestern St – Under 145.5

Tennessee St vs UT Martin – Under 156.5

SIUE vs W Illinois – Over 137.5 

Alabama St vs Alabama A&M – Under 138.5

Wake vs Virginia Tech – Under 149.5

Iowa vs Northwestern – Under 152.5

5pm – 6:45cst Tipoff

Play of the Day – W Kentucky vs FIU – Under 161.5 

Play of the Day – Alcorn st vs Prairie View AM – Under 143.5

UVA vs Duke – Over 126.5

VCU vs Richmond – Over 136.5

Miss Valley St vs Arkansas Pine Bluff – Under 143.5

UCLA vs Wash St – Over 126.5 

Rice vs Wichita St – Under 142.5

No Kentucky vs Wright St – Under 159.5

Cornell vs Princeton – Under 155.5

Check back here and follow me on X to see our later games!  Let’s win some money today. 

Tail at your own risk, and thank you for supporting Bite-Size Sports.  I hope I can do the research and provide the model plays to help you win some money!  Welcome to the ride as we get into the pinnacle of college basketball season.