What We’re Doing

Welcome to our NCAA Totals betting article.  As your author, I want you to get to know me and the process I have been building.  As a degenerate gambler and an avid Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) lover, I have been working on a process to live by for NCAA Basketball totals.  I have been playing DFS for nearly a decade now, mostly for the NFL, but I will dabble in other sports as well.  Make sure to follow me on X (@trevors_FF) for my DFS takes, but today is all about the best plays in college basketball.  

The Model

Once Football season ended last year, I found myself yearning for a good product and tool to bet on something.  As I began searching and dialing in different formulas, I found one that I have settled into and has worked quite well.  Last season, between February through the end of March Madness, the model hit at a 60% clip.  Since starting it back up again this season, around mid-January, it has been hitting at a 56% clip.  I am confident enough in this model that I am ready to pass along the plays for free to our readers at Bite-Size Sports!  

Recap

Although I am sharing a few picks on X and all my picks on Discord, if you want to be first and get the picks before the lines move, you will want to check out this article each day!  Here is how yesterday went. 

The streak ends at 4.  The win streak for the Play of the Day is crushed by Charleston and Delaware scoring 161 and going over the line (153.5).  That was just the beginning of the worst day the model has had since we have started this article. Most of the games weren’t even close, FDU and Sacred Heart put up 190 while Vermont and UAlbany put up 174.  Absolutely destroying their lines but that Queens vs Stetson game is what will hurt the most, a pointless lay up with 4 seconds left to make it a 160 points while had the under 158.5.  The second straight night with a bad beat but the night woes didn’t end there. The overs hit over and over again truly making it one of the worst nights I could have expected.  Night’s like last night are why it’s so important to control your units.  If you have played the same amount of money on each play all week long even after a tough night like Thursday we are still in plus money territory.  After getting a couple of last wins and finishing the night 5-8 on Thursday night and losing 2.5 units, we are still at a 62.75% this week. 

Play of the Day – Charleston vs Delaware U153.5 ❌

Monmouth vs Towson – Over 138.5 ✅

Fairleigh Dickinson vs Sacred Heart – Under 155.5 ❌

Vermont vs UAlbany – Under 145.5 ❌

Queens vs Stetson – Under 158.5 ❌🪝

Little Rock vs SE Missouri – Under 149.5 ✅

South Alabama vs Southern Miss – Under 143.5 ❌ 

Denver vs S Dakota St – Under 160.5 ❌

St. Thomas vs N Dakota St – Over 137.5 ❌

Southern Utah vs UT Arlington – Under 155.5 ❌

Grand Canyon vs Tarleton St –  Over 140.5 ✅

Morehead St. vs W Illinois – Over 127.5 ✅

UC Davis vs CSU Northridge – Under 147.5 ✅

Year to Date

I am going to track our picks year to date from the date we started sharing an article (Feb 19th) which included Feb 18th plays as well. 

POTD – 4-1 80% 

All Plays – 32-19 62.75%

February 23rd Plays

Each day, I will provide a Play of the Day.  This is the strongest play I find on the slate and one I am transparently laying 2 units on. Otherwise, I am laying 1U on the rest of the plays I provide here.  

Friday night brings out the IVY League!  Truly fun basketball to watch.  Along with the Ivy League tonight we’re going to see teams that are dreaming of their chance to make a run in next month’s March Madness!  Teams like Akron, Green Bay and Quinnipiac are trying to win and stay atop their respective conferences as they eye a ticket to the big dance. Multiple games with lines that the model thinks are quite far off.  Let’s get into it! 

Play of the day – Fairfield vs Quinnipiac – Under 157.5

Let’s restart that win streak here on Friday night! Going right back to the Unders both on the Play of the Day (POTD) and most of the rest of the plays. This POTD doesn’t have the strongest discrepancy we’ve seen as the model line is 150.  However, none of the metrics and lines we look at are really close to 157 and these teams have only gone over 157 two times recently.  I love going back with an under to get us back on track with the POTD.

Here are the remaining plays for Feb 23rd:

No Florida vs Jacksonville – Over 139.5

St Peters vs MSM – Over 130.5

Niagra vs Canisius – Under 143.5

Toledo vs Bowling Green – Under 157.5

Yale vs Cornell – Under 155.5

Brown vs Columbia – Under 146.5

Youngstown St vs Milwaukee – Under 160.5

Nevada vs San Jose St – Under 139.5

Tail at your own risk, and thank you for supporting Bite-Size Sports.  I hope I can do the research and provide the model plays to help you win some money!  Welcome to the ride as we get into the pinnacle of college basketball season.